A new report highlighted a remarkable turnaround in the U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) market, showcasing a surge in transaction volume during the third quarter of the year. The report revealed that aggregate transaction volume hit an impressive $150.6 billion, marking a significant 23.7% increase from the second quarter and a 25.1% rise compared to the same period in 2024. This surge in activity signals a strong rebound for the sector, particularly after a period of uncertainty and volatility that had weighed down market confidence in recent months.
The growth in transaction volume was accompanied by a rise in property prices, further underscoring the health of the market. The median price per square foot climbed 2.9% quarter-over-quarter and 14.2% year-over-year, reflecting a strong demand for commercial real estate assets across a range of sectors. The price increases suggest that investors are once again viewing commercial real estate as an attractive asset class, bolstered by favorable market conditions.
Nearly every major property type saw price gains during the third quarter. Storage properties, full-service hotels, automotive retail, multifamily housing, office spaces, and general commercial properties all experienced growth. Among these, multifamily and office properties saw notable demand, with increased interest from both institutional and individual investors. The demand for full-service hotels and automotive retail properties, which had struggled in recent quarters, also picked up as the broader economy began to stabilize, and consumer confidence improved.
The rebound in CRE activity can be largely attributed to a combination of macroeconomic factors that have supported the real estate market’s recovery. One of the primary drivers of this revival is the loosening of monetary policy, which has resulted in lower interest rates. The reduction in borrowing costs has made financing more accessible for businesses and investors, encouraging them to reinvest in real estate. As a result, more capital is being funneled into the commercial property sector, providing liquidity and boosting transaction volumes.
Another key factor in the market’s recovery is the shift in investor sentiment toward real estate as an alternative investment to more volatile markets like equities and debt. As the stock market remains prone to fluctuations and economic uncertainties persist, many investors are seeking stability in tangible assets such as commercial real estate. Real estate, particularly non-hospitality properties, offers a sense of security due to its long-term, income-producing potential and its ability to act as a hedge against inflation. This has led to increased investor confidence in the commercial property sector, especially as the demand for high-quality assets remains strong.
For many investors, the surge in transaction volume and price appreciation signals that commercial real estate is once again poised to deliver attractive returns. While the hospitality sector had faced significant headwinds during the pandemic and its aftermath, non-hospitality assets—such as multifamily buildings, industrial properties, and office spaces—have become increasingly popular. This shift in focus is helping to drive overall market growth and create new opportunities for capital inflow into the commercial real estate space.
Looking ahead, the positive momentum in the commercial real estate market suggests that the sector will continue to attract investment in the coming months. Analysts predict that the surge in transaction activity will likely extend into the final quarter of 2025 and into 2026, as more investors recognize the stability and potential profitability of commercial real estate. However, it is important to note that broader economic conditions could still affect the market. While the loosening of monetary policy has helped stimulate growth, any changes in interest rates or unforeseen economic disruptions could still pose challenges for the sector.
In conclusion, the strong performance of U.S. commercial real estate in the third quarter of 2025 marks a significant recovery after a period of volatility. With transaction volume and property prices on the rise, the sector appears to be well-positioned for continued growth, especially as investors increasingly turn to real estate for stability in uncertain times. The positive outlook for commercial real estate could lead to further capital inflows and sustained demand for a variety of property types, making the sector an attractive investment opportunity for both institutional and individual investors in the months ahead.
